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Indian Rupee Falls from One-Month High on Importer Dollar Demand

  • 10th April 2026
  • 04:10 PM
  • 2 min read
PL Capital

Summary

The Indian rupee retreated from a one-month peak on Friday after heavy dollar demand from importers offset early gains. The currency slipped 0.1% to 92.73 against the US dollar by mid-morning, pulled lower by importer hedging activity, elevated oil prices, and lingering uncertainty over the US-Iran ceasefire. The Indian rupee gave up early gains on Friday, slipping to 92.73 against the US dollar by 11:20 a.m. IST after touching a one-month high of 92.4150 earlier in the session.

10 April 2026 | Mumbai

Why Did the Rupee Retreat After Touching a One-Month High?

The currency opened at 92.57 and briefly strengthened before importer dollar demand pushed it back. The rupee fell 0.1% from its previous close, though it remained on course for a second consecutive weekly gain.

A trader at a mid-sized private sector bank pointed to large transactions in the overnight FX swap market as a sign of sizeable dollar payments by importers, with heavy hedging demand blunting the rupee’s opening gains. The trader added that the rupee was always going to struggle to hold beyond 92.50 as the impact of the RBI’s foreign exchange curbs waned.

What Role Did the RBI Play in Recent Rupee Strength?

The rupee’s recent gains drew support from the Reserve Bank of India’s decision to impose limits on onshore foreign exchange positions held by banks. The move forced lenders to sell dollars in the local market, providing the currency with a temporary lift. With most of those positions now unwound, bankers say that tailwind has faded.

How Are Oil Prices and Equity Outflows Adding Pressure?

Two additional headwinds are weighing on the rupee. Brent crude for June delivery climbed to around $97 a barrel in Asian trading on Friday, recovering from lows of near $90 reached after the US-Iran ceasefire was announced. Oil prices had fallen sharply on the ceasefire news but have since begun climbing again and remain significantly higher than pre-war levels.

Foreign investors have moderated their pace of equity selling but continue to be net sellers, indicating that demand for Indian assets remains weak.

Reports of continued fighting have also kept concerns over oil supply disruptions alive, adding to market caution over the durability of the ceasefire.

Rupee Outlook

Market participants are watching US retail inflation data due after Indian market hours on Friday. Interest rate futures show almost no chance of a rate cut before September, according to Reuters. With RBI-driven support largely exhausted, elevated oil prices and persistent foreign equity outflows are expected to keep the rupee under pressure in the near term.

Stay updated on Indian equity and commodity markets. Read more market news on PL Capital

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