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Gold Slips in Global Markets After RBI Hikes Repo Rate to 5.50%

  • 7th October 2026
  • 03:10 PM
  • 4 min read
PL Capital

Summary

Gold prices fell in global markets on Wednesday, 7 October 2026, after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50%. Spot gold traded at $4,119.02 an ounce, down 1.09%. Oil prices rebounded and US Treasury yields stayed near multi-decade highs, as investors awaited the US Federal Reserve's meeting minutes.

Mumbai | 7 October 2026 

Global gold prices came under pressure on Wednesday after the Reserve Bank of India raised its repo rate the same day by 25 basis points (0.25 percentage points) to 5.50% from 5.25%. The repo rate is the interest rate at which the RBI lends money to banks. This is the RBI’s first rate hike since February 2023. 

How Are Gold Prices Moving After the RBI Rate Hike? 

Spot gold, the price of gold for immediate delivery, traded at $4,119.02 an ounce at 3:11 pm on Wednesday, down $45.53 or 1.09%. 

On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold for December delivery fell ₹750 or 0.5% to ₹1,49,370 at 3:05 pm. 

Retail gold rates in India, however, were 0.37% higher on the day. 

Detail  Figure 
Spot gold (3:11 pm)  $4,119.02 an ounce 
MCX gold, December contract (3:05 pm)  ₹1,49,370 per 10 grams 
Retail gold, 24-carat  ₹1,49,570 per 10 grams, up ₹550 
Retail gold, 22-carat  ₹1,37,100 per 10 grams, up ₹500 
Retail gold, 18-carat  ₹1,12,180 per 10 grams, up ₹410 
Seven-week low (28 September)  $4,110.55 an ounce 
Record high (28 January)  $5,589 an ounce 

Why Are Gold Prices Under Pressure? 

Gold gave back gains from the previous session as oil prices rebounded on continuing risks to Middle East supply. Iran stepped up attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, while Saudi forces continued to clash with the Houthis. Higher oil prices keep inflation and rate hike concerns in focus. 

US Treasury yields also stayed near multi-decade highs. US job growth in September came in weaker than expected, and payrolls for the previous two months were revised down. 

What Did the RBI Announce? 

The RBI changed its policy stance to “calibrated tightening”. Four of the six members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), the panel that sets the repo rate, voted in favour of this stance. The RBI also indicated that rate cuts are off the table in the near term, with future decisions depending on economic conditions. 

What Is the RBI’s Inflation Outlook? 

Headline inflation has stayed above the RBI’s 4% target for three months in a row, reaching 4.82% in August. The RBI has also raised its inflation projections for the financial year 2026-27 (FY27) and the quarters ahead. 

Period  New projection  Earlier projection 
FY27  5.2%  5% 
Q3 FY27  6%  5.9% 
Q4 FY27  5.7%  5.5% 
Q1 FY28  5.6%  5.3% 
FY27 core inflation  4.4%  4.3% 

 

Core inflation leaves out food and fuel prices. 

How Does a Rate Hike Affect Gold in India? 

Gold does not pay interest. When interest rates and bond yields rise, investors give up more income by holding gold instead of interest-paying assets. India’s 10-year government bond yield is near 7.2%. 

The rupee has fallen around 6% in 2026, which has added to gold returns for Indian investors. Domestic gold prices depend on both international gold prices and the rupee. 

Outlook 

Investors are awaiting the minutes of the US Federal Reserve’s 15 and 16 September meeting, at which it raised rates. The minutes may offer clues on whether policymakers favour further hikes. The Fed’s dot plot, a chart of each policymaker’s interest rate projection, currently indicates one more rate hike. 

Stay updated on Indian and global equity and commodity markets on PL Capital. 

 

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