titan-q1-results-02

Titan Q1 Results Beat Estimates with 34% Profit Surge—But Will Rising Gold Prices Dent the Shine?

  • 8th August 2025
  • 01:40 PM
  • 4 min read
PL Capital

Mumbai | August 8  – Titan Company (NSE: TTAN) posted a better-than-expected 33.8% jump in net profit to ₹1,030 crore for Q1FY26, riding on strong momentum in its watches and jewellery segments and a favourable one-time gain. Revenue rose 20.8% YoY to ₹14,564 crore, backed by growth across key verticals including CaratLane, TEAL, and emerging lifestyle categories.

However, the upbeat performance masks near-term risks. Elevated gold prices, a shift in product mix, and global uncertainties including tariff tensions could pose challenges for the rest of FY26. Even so, Prabhudas Lilladher (PL Capital) remains bullish, retaining a Buy rating on Titan with a revised target price of ₹3,901.

“While near-term pressures exist, Titan’s calibrated strategy of expanding light-weight jewellery and premium watches is yielding results. The long-term margin profile remains intact,” said Amnish Aggarwal, Head of Research at PL Capital.

Titan Q1FY26 Financial Snapshot

Metric Q1 FY26 Q1 FY25 YoY Change
Revenue ₹14,564 Cr ₹12,053 Cr 20.80%
EBITDA ₹1,632 Cr ₹1,211 Cr 34.80%
EBITDA Margin 11.20% 10.00% +120 bps
Net Profit (Adj. PAT) ₹1,030 Cr ₹770 Cr 33.80%
Jewellery Revenue ₹12,797 Cr ₹10,787 Cr 18.60%
Watches Revenue ₹1,273 Cr ₹1,021 Cr 24.70%
Eyewear Revenue ₹238 Cr ₹209 Cr 13.90%
CaratLane Revenue ₹1,026 Cr ₹754 Cr 36.10%

 

Jewellery Shines—But Not Without Warnings

Titan’s jewellery segment delivered 18.6% growth, aided by high gold prices and improving ticket sizes. EBIT for the segment rose 27.7% to ₹1,408 crore with an 11% margin. However, a key concern was the fall in studded jewellery share to 29% (down 100 bps YoY), as consumers preferred gold coins and plain jewellery over high-margin diamond pieces.

“Margins in jewellery were boosted by a ₹50 crore MTM gain which will reverse in Q2 and Q3. Sustained pressure from gold prices and changing consumer behaviour makes the mix less favourable,” added , Analyst at PL Capital.

To counter this, management is aggressively pushing 9K and 14K lightweight offerings priced under ₹50,000 to retain middle-income buyers.

Watches and CaratLane Power Ahead

The watches segment saw a robust 24.7% revenue growth, with EBIT margins soaring to 22.5% (up 1,128 bps YoY), thanks to premiumisation and a ₹50 crore one-time gain. CaratLane, now a core growth engine, reported a 39% rise in sales and 78% jump in EBIT, driven by 60% growth in solitaire jewellery.

Titan also opened 9 CaratLane stores and 4 Titan World outlets, expanding its footprint as demand from both aspirational and luxury consumers remains strong.

Management Commentary: Gold Prices, Festive Outlook, Tariffs

In its earnings call, the management flagged high gold prices and shifting consumer preferences as key near-term concerns. “While gold remains at record highs, our light-weight and value-focused strategy is helping offset volume pressures,” said a senior Titan executive.

Other key highlights:

  • Studded ratio dipped as buyers opted for coins and basic gold pieces.
  • Average ticket size improved, helping offset footfall dips.
  • International business in UAE and North America saw double-digit growth.
  • Festive demand in Q2 is expected to support watches and jewellery sales.

On tariffs, Titan acknowledged global uncertainty but expressed confidence in domestic resilience.

Also Read: “Wedding Demand Intact, Despite Gold at ₹1 Lakh” – PL Capital Says Titan Well-Positioned to Outshine Rivals

Should Investors Worry? Or Accumulate on Dips?

While Titan’s Q1 results were optically strong, investors should be watchful of the reversal of one-off gains, margin volatility from gold, and macro disruptions. Yet, its consistent retail expansion, premium product positioning, and consumer loyalty make it a structurally attractive play.

With earnings visibility improving post-festive season and margins guided to remain steady, the stock, currently trading at ₹3,416, offers potential upside for long-term investors. Despite acknowledging challenges like inventory cost pressure and rising interest burden from higher gold holdings (₹75 billion YoY), PL Capital maintains a bullish view. “We estimate 27.5% PAT CAGR over FY25–27. The business continues to gain share and build premium salience. Our SOTP-based TP is revised to ₹3,901. Buy on dips,” the PL note stated.

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